Research Trail
Research Process: World Religions by Population
A public record of the questions, source selection, rejected evidence, decision criteria, and update conditions behind this article.
Research Process: World Religions by Population
Environment
- model:
gpt-5.4-mini - skill: .codex/skills/research-report/SKILL.md
- skill: .codex/skills/stop-slop/SKILL.md
- prompt source: ops/codex/prompts/daily-issue-research.md
- repository rule:
AGENTS.mdResearch Repository Instructions
Research Instruction
The research input requested an overview of world religions and religious population distribution. Follow-ups requested major-religion headings, numbers, country shares, denominations or branches, enough detail to understand smaller religions by count and country, and a chapter on how far Judaism and evangelicals should be connected when reading Palestine and Israel. Repository policy treats this as a durable public research report, so the work is saved as synchronized Japanese and English article content, source notes, and research logs.
Process
- Checked Pew Research Center’s 2025 global religious composition estimates and used the seven-category world totals and shares as baseline data.
- Extracted top-country tables for Christians, Muslims, unaffiliated people, Hindus, Buddhists, other religions, and Jews from the Pew 2025 report PDF appendix.
- Checked Pew 2011 Global Christianity, Pew 2009 Global Muslim Population, Pew 2012 Buddhists, Pew 2021 India survey material, and Pew 2020 Jewish Americans for denomination and branch context.
- Checked Government of India PIB material linked to the 2011 census for named smaller-religion counts that Pew’s combined “other religions” category cannot separate.
- Checked World in Data and Pew methodology material for limits around self-reporting, census categories, unaffiliated identity, and East Asian ritual practice.
- Treated Pew’s 2015 2050 projection as an older scenario because Pew revised its 2010 baseline in 2025.
- Checked Pew material on U.S. Jewish connections with Israel, Pew Israel-Hamas war surveys, and PRRI U.S. religious population estimates to define the Judaism-evangelical linkage.
- Checked Pew U.S. opinion, Pew 36-country Israel favorability, and Pew Israeli domestic opinion to separate Palestinians, the Palestinian Authority, Hamas, and the Israeli government’s military conduct.
Decisions
- The article was reorganized around global ranking, major-religion country tables, denomination and branch context, country-level diversity, projection limits, and measurement limits.
- The article does not create a world denominational table because subgroup sources use different years and scopes.
- Smaller religions are handled through both Pew’s combined “other religions” country table and named India counts for Sikhs, Jains, and Buddhists.
- Judaism and evangelical Protestantism are connected only where the U.S. pro-Israel political coalition is the topic.
- Views of Palestine are not reduced to one world opinion because U.S., non-U.S., Israeli, and Palestinian-institution views use different objects and axes.
- The English article mirrors the Japanese public article with the same table structure and source notes.
Remaining Review Points
- Denomination and branch data do not share a 2020 baseline, so human review should check that readers cannot confuse country counts with subgroup estimates.
- Israel-Palestine opinion is fast-moving, so reuse should treat the cited polling as verified on July 2, 2026.
- If Pew publishes or updates a machine-readable 2025 country dataset, the PDF-extracted country tables can be rechecked.